This would be great news for Trump.
Recent polling suggests that former President Donald Trump is gaining momentum in two critical Western states that he lost to President Biden in the previous election cycle.
In Arizona, Trump, aged 77, currently holds a four-percentage-point lead over Biden, aged 81, according to a survey conducted by Emerson College/The Hill. The poll reveals that Trump is favored by 48% of registered voters compared to Biden’s 44%. A similar trend is observed in Nevada, where Trump leads Biden by three percentage points, with 44% of the vote compared to Biden’s 41%, leaving 15% of voters undecided.
Delving deeper into the undecided voter demographic, when leaning preferences are considered, Trump’s lead extends further. In Arizona, Trump secures 52% of the vote against Biden’s 48%, while in Nevada, the margin is 51% to 49% in favor of Trump.
The sentiment among voters is diverse. Trump supporters cite issues and personal affinity towards the former president as primary reasons for their allegiance, while a significant proportion of Biden supporters express their opposition to Trump as the driving force behind their choice.
Arizona, a state that Biden won in 2020, now appears to be tilting towards Trump, with a majority of voters indicating that Biden does not deserve a second term in office. Moreover, a slight majority believes that Trump should have the opportunity to run for president again despite the events of January 6, 2021.
Similarly, in Nevada, although traditionally a Democratic stronghold in recent presidential elections, there are indications of a shift. While Hispanic voters still favor Biden, white voters lean towards Trump, highlighting a divided electorate. A majority of Nevada voters express skepticism about Biden’s ability to serve another term, while opinions are split on Trump’s eligibility for future presidential bids.
In addition to the presidential race, Senate races in both states also draw attention. In Arizona, progressive Rep. Ruben Gallego holds a slight lead over Republican Kari Lake, while in Nevada, incumbent Sen. Jacky Rosen maintains a narrow edge over potential Republican challenger Sam Brown.
Overall, these polls conducted in mid-March reflect a significant shift in voter sentiment towards Trump in two pivotal Western states, setting the stage for closely contested races in both the presidential and senatorial arenas.